From a game theory perspective, I think a war, even a seemingly winnable one, isn’t in their best interests. They know they are going to win long term, so taking short term risks to expedite change is unnecessary. Hot wars are always more complex than they seem and always have unintended consequences. For instance, it could interrupt China’s trade with other NATO countries and their vassals. The US might miraculously find deposits of rare earth metals and then the war could get very long and very bloody.

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