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Cake day: July 1st, 2023

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  • Here’s an interesting nugget I discovered today

    A long LW post tries to tie AI safety and regulations together. I didn’t bother reading it all, but this passage caught my eye

    USS Eastland Disaster. After maritime regulations required more lifeboats following the Titanic disaster, ships became top-heavy, causing the USS Eastland to capsize and kill 844 people in 1915. This is an example of how well-intentioned regulations can create unforeseen risks if technological systems aren’t considered holistically.

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/ARhanRcYurAQMmHbg/the-historical-parallels-preliminary-reflection

    You will be shocked to learn that this summary is a bit lacking in detail. According to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SS_Eastland

    Because the ship did not meet a targeted speed of 22 miles per hour (35 km/h; 19 kn) during her inaugural season and had a draft too deep for the Black River in South Haven, Michigan, where she was being loaded, the ship returned in September 1903 to Port Huron for modifications, […] and repositioning of the ship’s machinery to reduce the draft of the hull. Even though the modifications increased the ship’s speed, the reduced hull draft and extra weight mounted up high reduced the metacentric height and inherent stability as originally designed.

    (my emphasis)

    The vessel experiences multiple listing incidents between 1903 and 1914.

    Adding lifeboats:

    The federal Seamen’s Act had been passed in 1915 following the RMS Titanic disaster three years earlier. The law required retrofitting of a complete set of lifeboats on Eastland, as on many other passenger vessels.[10] This additional weight may have made Eastland more dangerous by making her even more top-heavy. […] Eastland’s owners could choose to either maintain a reduced capacity or add lifeboats to increase capacity, and they elected to add lifeboats to qualify for a license to increase the ship’s capacity to 2,570 passengers.

    So. Owners who knew they had an issue with stability elected profits over safety. But yeah it’s the fault of regulators.