Intel may be part of it, but I suspect thoy wanted to try to force conflict between China and India + thoroughly corner another Muslim country, if possible.
I suspect they had little belief Chinese tech would be on an entirely different, superior level to western tech, or they considered it a relatively unlikely worst case scenario.
I agree that the intelligence angle is only part of it. The chaos of war creates a lot of opportunities. Additionally, it can potentially shore up domestic support for Modi as a “war-time” leader, create some pretext for Indian arms mobilization, create some pretext for US “peacekeeping” forces to be deployed, etc.
I think this conflict can do a lot for the US project, which is why I think the US may be behind it.
Intel may be part of it, but I suspect thoy wanted to try to force conflict between China and India + thoroughly corner another Muslim country, if possible.
I suspect they had little belief Chinese tech would be on an entirely different, superior level to western tech, or they considered it a relatively unlikely worst case scenario.
I agree that the intelligence angle is only part of it. The chaos of war creates a lot of opportunities. Additionally, it can potentially shore up domestic support for Modi as a “war-time” leader, create some pretext for Indian arms mobilization, create some pretext for US “peacekeeping” forces to be deployed, etc.
I think this conflict can do a lot for the US project, which is why I think the US may be behind it.